tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8358039.post5771480417465592417..comments2024-03-25T15:17:04.488-07:00Comments on Captain Capitalism: I'm Officially Predicting Recession...But...Captain Capitalismhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/05620212946121617985noreply@blogger.comBlogger6125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8358039.post-17014613777259348762015-05-08T07:02:42.340-07:002015-05-08T07:02:42.340-07:00Captain, just what would it take to finally tank t...Captain, just what would it take to finally tank the markets (let's say stocks, bonds, REITs)? Even if two consecutive quarters of negative growth appear, we might only see a correction like last October. I say 20% down at worst. We're in an artificially low interest rate environment (which can be maintained indefinitely?) and as you've mentioned before, people still throw money into their 401Ks like zombies. But valuations just can't go up forever, right? A bear market must happen eventually.Brianhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10919981336468928396noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8358039.post-63663811619826919972015-05-08T05:58:33.962-07:002015-05-08T05:58:33.962-07:001-3% GDP growth ain't great, but on an inflati...1-3% GDP growth ain't great, but on an inflation adjusted basis it beats most of the g-20 nations. We;re never goign to get back to 40's era growth and that's not really a big deal. Law of large numbers and diminishing returns. It's just harder to grow an economy that is 10x larger at the rate it was growing when it was 10x smallergrey enlightenmenthttp://greyenlightenment.comnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8358039.post-22120799826493668902015-05-07T09:46:38.363-07:002015-05-07T09:46:38.363-07:00Big issue: oil price decline is killing jobs in TX...Big issue: oil price decline is killing jobs in TX, ND and elsewhere.<br /><br />Cheap oil should stimulate rest of economy, but gov't has incentivized against that. DrTorchnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8358039.post-61277868438587103552015-05-06T21:54:33.430-07:002015-05-06T21:54:33.430-07:00"effectively 0% real economic growth"
I..."effectively 0% real economic growth"<br /><br />I think that with all the corruption and the fake vitality by gov. fiat force we ought to expect on 0% on the dot but a negative growth rate, since producers and innovators are being stifled. We know what you meant, no expansion, but furthermore we must have contraction. The question is can it get worse without a complete meltdown and gov. collapse. Nobody knows. This sure feels like a depression to me, but I see people acting normal, rush hour to and from work. The bread lines are virtual. I don't understand why things don't look bad out my window, on people's faces, unless it is because sheeple expect so little of what I expect and much of what we actually have. So I am left with tentative disguise, not sure what else I could be missing. I'd sure like to see sheeple suffer and this cultural rot get recycled with a renewal process that would make my life not suck. I wish I were a dumb ass sheeple. Ignorance is bliss.'Reality' Dougnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8358039.post-7069813228563438942015-05-06T19:48:43.106-07:002015-05-06T19:48:43.106-07:00Hi Aaron, thought this was a well thought out and ...Hi Aaron, thought this was a well thought out and very accurate post.<br />Keep up the good work. Also, I bought our 14 year old son a copy of Worthless, it is hilarious and outstanding. Changed his world view.<br />Regards,<br />RalphAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8358039.post-11993034412283176272015-05-06T16:54:22.502-07:002015-05-06T16:54:22.502-07:00It's a little spooky you just wrote this artic...It's a little spooky you just wrote this article. I just recently saw the S&P 500 (1980-2015 chart) and thought to myself, "It's about time shit hits the fan. Maybe Cappy has written something about it."<br /><br />Sure enough. Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com