A friend forwarded me this chart showing the percent chance of recession from day to day for the past four years or so.
It's from the web site Political Calculations.
And it's one of those web sites where you'll lose yourself for about 3 hours because of all the cool and different things you can calculate based on some models he's programmed;
Chances are your marriage will end in divorce
Chances of recession
And an outstanding model on the S&P 500
So go have some fun at Political Calculations, if for any other reason to calculate your chances of divorce!