I had just finished a nerd-econo-blogger-podcaster conference in Cincinnati. It was a great time full of booze, poker, philosophy, economics, and all the stuff that makes for the rare addictive fix intelligent people crave. And while there was general consensus among this meeting of the minds, there was one issue where I was the odd man out.
Hope for what?
Hope for the future of America, specifically through Donald Trump.
The reason I was in the single-person minority was because my colleagues genuinely believed that not only is there a chance America can be saved from a Soviet-esque 75 year nightmare, but Donald Trump is going to win the election. They would talk about "what needs to be done" or would start off sentences with "we need to do XXX" as if this Titanic was salvageable. Some even made the (rightful) argument that America, freedom, and liberty were the most noble of causes worth fighting for no matter what the odds.
I was certainly on their side and took no issue as to what "should be" in this world, but where I differed with the consensus was in the realm of practicality. I just don't live in "Shoulda Land."
Ergo, given their majority opinion is likely a good proxy for fellow libertarian, conservative, and freedom-lovers' opinions, I wanted to make the argument why I believe Donald Trump not only will fail, but is doomed to fail. And the reasons are two.
First, despite all of The Don's charisma and refreshingly blunt talk, one has to remember the re-election of Barack Obama. A veritable socialist who FAILED MISERABLY to get the economy moving again, I was convinced any self-respecting American would vote his incompetent ass out of office. Leftist or not, minority or not, male or female, people would realize he not only failed to live up to (unrealistic) expectations, but only worsened the long term financial stability of the US. You throw in Obamacare and I truly thought American would wake the f*ck up and vote him out.
They did not.
And what that taught me was that not only can a conservative never win the presidency ever again with 15% (and increasing) of our population being minorities (who tribalistically vote for socialism), but too high a percent of the population (including whites) are wedded to a socialist ideology to such a zealous level their emotions have totally eclipsed any intelligent thinking they're capable off.
The second, and iron-clad reason The Don is not the second coming of Ronald Reagan, is a variable I'm shockingly surprised nobody has brought up or thought of before.
Perhaps it's because I remember the Jesse Ventura administration, but the executive branch does not stand alone. This isn't a monarchy, it's a democracy. And the executive branch (gubernatorial or presidential) has to deal with a legislature. And the legislature, BOTH republican and democrats hate Trump.
This is the real reason any discussion about "President Trump," let alone the "saving of America" is moot and a waste of time. I'm sure people are very excited to see the first non-politician get nominated for a major political party's presidential ticket. And as I drive further south past the Mason Dixon line, it becomes increasingly more apparent. But even if he does get elected...
You think congress is going to work with him to actually improve things? I, sadly, predict this will go down very much like a Jesse Ventura administration and nothing long term, fundamental, nor genuinely hopeful will come of it.
The truth is minorities are too brainwashed, people are too stupid, and congress is too corrupt to "get the government the WWII generation deserves." And while I know there may be some hope, perhaps wishful thinking, in the end you not only have to financially and physically prepare yourself for a decline with silver, guns, and overseas investments, you need to prepare yourself mentally for what's about to come.
Alas, I suggest you learn to enjoy the decline.