Monday, May 22, 2017
Don't Let Corporate Profits Bother You
I have largely checked out of the realm of politics and finance. Both entities/worlds are not controlled, nor influenced by me, but instead are determined by the unlimited sea of sheep, lemmings, and the politicians and corporate marketing shepherds that guide them into the slaughter house. This has turned politics, economics, finance, and in general, history, into a movie I watch, indifferent about the outcome, with no passion nor care about the characters. This means most humans mean nothing to be, and so when they:
Buy a McMansion at the height of the housing bubble.
Investing in a dotcom in 1999.
Borrow $150,000 to major in a worthless subject
Volunteer at a refugee camp and get raped
and consequently have their lives ruined, I laugh at them because in my world they are merely non-sentient characters on the stage of life, all here for my entertainment.
So an article about IBM's stagnant revenues and profits prompting them to end their telecommuting policy, piqued my interest. Was IBM having trouble? Were their profits down? I had no idea, I was too busy at the moment riding my motorcycle in the Black Hills to tune in. But apparently it is true, IBM is having a bit of a tough time. This then prompted me to research corporate profits overall and it seems it's the same movie being played at the "AMC CNCB Jim Cramer 25 Cineplex."
Corporate profits have indeed not only stagnated for IBM, but corporations overall. Bar the oil price collapse of 1986 (which drove corporate profit growth to an all time low) the trailing 10 year average of corporate profits is at an all-time, post-1950's low:
I know the democrat/socialist movie directors want to tell you in this movie the economy has recovered and this is the new normal, but in the real world this does not bode well for the entire country and the millions of sheep who have been told to invest in the stock market via their 401k's, IRA's and 403b's. I was hoping that with sclerotic corporate profit growth, corporate prices would be equally slow to grow, meaning they'd be cheap for the millions of Gen X'ers and Millennials who would like to also contribute to their retirement plans. But alas, even after the 50% stock price crash in the S&P 500 during The Great Recession, stock prices have not only recovered to their pre-cash levels, but grew an extra 11% over what corporate profits warranted, making them EXTRA EXTRA pricey for millennial and Gen X sheep to buy.
This is on top of a longer and historically larger bubble where the stock market is essentially trading at twice the value it should be because of all the:
1. Retirement dollars
2. Low interest rate loan corporate buy back dollars
3. Quantitative easing dollars
flooding the US stock market.
It is here I lose interest in the movie because I've seen this movie thrice before. There was the "Housing Bubble" which came out in 2007 and starred Dick Fuld, Bernie Madoff, and Ben Bernanke. There was "The Dotcom Bubble" which starred CNBC, Krispy Kreme Donuts, and a sea of idiot American sheeple. And though most never bothered to view it, I did watch that old classic "The Tulip Bulb Bubble" starring the ENTIRE POPULATION OF HOLLAND.
All of them have the same plot.
All of them have the same outcome.
They are as boring, overdone, and scripted as the Fast and the Furious Series.
And just like the "Fast and the Furious" series promises to be the last one, they'll drag Vin Diesel's and Duane Johnson's ass out again and again and gain...
"for just one more time"
"because this is the last time"
"until the next time"
"until the next time"
"till I was never coming back"
"until we have to do it again"
"for the last time."
It won't be until the American sheeple actually learn from history, will they avoid these once-per-decade financial crises they inflict upon themselves. Until that time, enjoy the show and enjoy the decline.
Books by Aaron